Thinking in Bets

Overview

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four points, he called for a pass instead of a run. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great decision that didn't work out? Former professional poker player Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Life is poker, not chess. You'll never have all the information, so you have to think in bets and get comfortable with being wrong.

Key Takeaways

• Separate decision quality from outcome quality
• Use probabilistic thinking to navigate uncertainty
• Form "truth-seeking" groups to combat cognitive bias
• Embrace "resulting" - don't judge decisions solely by outcomes

Who Should Read This Book?

Why Read Thinking in Bets?

Thinking in Bets is widely regarded as essential reading in the data-driven product managementspace for product managers. Annie Duke's insights have helped thousands of product professionals improve their craft and deliver better products.

Whether you're an aspiring product manager looking to break into the field or an experienced PM seeking to deepen your expertise in data-driven product management, this book provides practical frameworks and real-world examples that you can apply immediately.

With 4,567 reviews and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5, Thinking in Bets has proven its value to the product management community. Join the thousands of professionals who have benefited from this essential resource.