HIGH_DENSITY_DATA
FILE_REF: strategy-superforecasting // VERIFIED_ENTRY
ENTRY_DATE2015_01_01
Superforecasting
01_ABSTRACT_SYNOPSIS
Superforecasting is useful for PMs because product strategy often depends on predicting adoption, competition, and execution under conditions of incomplete information. Tetlock and Gardner show what strong forecasters do differently: update often, think probabilistically, and separate confidence from certainty. The book strengthens strategic judgment in planning, prioritization, and market evaluation.
02_INDEX_NODES
- How better forecasters think in probabilities rather than certainty claimsP.042
- Why PMs benefit from frequent updating and calibrated confidenceP.084
- A stronger method for reasoning about uncertain product and market betsP.126
- How forecasting habits can improve strategic communication and planningP.168
PUBLICATION_DATE2015
ISBN_RECORDN/A
PAGES352_UNITS
LANGUAGEENGLISH
LEVELINTERMEDIATE
RECORDS_IDstrategy-superforecasting
FILE_SIZE17.6_MB_RAW
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